Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Gregor 40.3% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Gregor 50.3%
Defensive zone
Mercer 53.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Mercer
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
36.7% (196)
+2.4%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
23.1% (13)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Gregor is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gregor
Home
40.0% (755)
35.4% (113)
Away
38.5% (792)
36.1% (97)
By Period
Mercer
Gregor
P1
38.2%
36.9%
P2
39.2%
28.4%
P3
41.1%
44.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
35.7%