Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Gregor 46.3% (+12.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 60.3%
Defensive zone
Mercer 56.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Mercer
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
29.4% (17)
+13.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
33.3% (6)
+6.7%
On even strength, Mercer has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Gregor is 27.3% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gregor
Home
39.0% (82)
23.1% (13)
Away
45.8% (83)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Mercer
Gregor
P1
45.5%
20.0%
P2
44.0%
28.6%
P3
36.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
30.4%