Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Evans 51.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 77.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 64.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Cozens
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cozens
Evans
Last 5: Cozens 2-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Cozens
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
54.5% (483)
-5.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
58.3% (12)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
43.9% (155)
-4.4%
On power play, Evans has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Cozens
Evans
Home
49.0% (600)
49.4% (336)
Away
47.6% (574)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Cozens
Evans
P1
46.5%
55.8%
P2
52.9%
51.7%
P3
45.2%
48.2%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |