Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Evans 55.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 85.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Cozens
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cozens
Evans
Last 8: Cozens 4-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
3
Cozens
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Cozens
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
56.2% (477)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
70.0% (10)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
55.4% (204)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Cozens
Evans
Home
54.1% (375)
55.3% (374)
Away
52.3% (331)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Cozens
Evans
P1
55.8%
58.5%
P2
50.6%
55.7%
P3
53.7%
53.9%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |