Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 21 meetings). Cozens wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 29-21 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 90.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 74.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Cozens
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
29
(50 meetings)
21
29
Cozens
Evans
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
11
3
Cozens
Evans
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
18
Cozens
Evans
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
7
8
Cozens
Evans
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
53.8% (3,695)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
60.0% (70)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
47.1% (1,222)
-6.1%
On power play, Evans has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Cozens shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Home / Away
Cozens
Evans
Home
48.2% (2,677)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Cozens
Evans
P1
49.1%
54.0%
P2
47.7%
50.9%
P3
48.8%
52.0%
OT
34.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |