Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Evans 52.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 82.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.6%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Cozens
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Cozens
Evans
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
6
1
Cozens
Evans
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
5
Cozens
Evans
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
7
Cozens
Evans
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
54.4% (824)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
66.7% (9)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
48.1% (289)
-5.7%
On power play, Evans has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Cozens
Evans
Home
49.5% (638)
55.1% (541)
Away
51.9% (522)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Cozens
Evans
P1
51.9%
51.8%
P2
46.4%
53.3%
P3
54.2%
53.8%
OT
16.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |