Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Staal 56.8% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 52.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Cozens
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Cozens
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
58.9% (1,041)
-13.3%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
53.4% (73)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
49.1% (171)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Cozens
Staal
Home
43.9% (410)
59.0% (578)
Away
47.2% (430)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Cozens
Staal
P1
46.4%
57.1%
P2
41.6%
60.9%
P3
49.4%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |