Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Staal 54.2% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 70.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Cozens
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cozens
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Cozens
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
57.0% (1,017)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
57.7% (26)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
45.1% (286)
-2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Cozens
Staal
Home
49.5% (638)
54.3% (667)
Away
51.9% (522)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Cozens
Staal
P1
51.9%
56.2%
P2
46.4%
57.0%
P3
54.2%
49.7%
OT
16.7%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |