Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Staal 57.6% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 71.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 68.1%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Cozens
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Cozens
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Cozens
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Cozens
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
58.9% (1,096)
-12.2%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
68.4% (57)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
51.8% (222)
-9.5%
On power play, Staal has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Cozens
Staal
Home
46.2% (567)
57.0% (646)
Away
44.9% (579)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Cozens
Staal
P1
46.5%
55.9%
P2
46.5%
55.4%
P3
44.2%
62.0%
OT
22.2%
70.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |