Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Cozens
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Cozens
Staal
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
4
Cozens
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
56.1% (955)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
66.9% (142)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.0% (242)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Cozens
Staal
Home
54.1% (375)
55.4% (663)
Away
52.3% (331)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Cozens
Staal
P1
55.8%
55.1%
P2
50.6%
54.7%
P3
53.7%
53.9%
OT
40.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |