Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 83.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 91.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 87.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Cozens
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
23
(34 meetings)
11
23
Cozens
Staal
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Cozens
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
11
Cozens
Staal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
7
8
Cozens
Staal
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
55.9% (14,620)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
62.7% (1,745)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
48.0% (2,896)
-7.0%
On power play, Staal has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Cozens
Staal
Home
48.2% (2,677)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Cozens
Staal
P1
49.1%
55.2%
P2
47.7%
55.9%
P3
48.8%
54.9%
OT
34.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 25, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |