Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 80.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 80.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 75.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Cozens
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Cozens
Staal
Last 10: Cozens 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Cozens
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
8
Cozens
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Cozens
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
56.3% (1,115)
-6.9%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
61.2% (67)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
52.1% (292)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Cozens
Staal
Home
49.0% (600)
58.3% (705)
Away
47.6% (574)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Cozens
Staal
P1
46.5%
54.5%
P2
52.9%
58.2%
P3
45.2%
54.1%
OT
53.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |