Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Norris 51.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 55.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 64.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 67.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Cozens
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cozens
Norris
Last 5: Cozens 3-2 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
51.2% (886)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
59.0% (83)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
38.8% (67)
-4.3%
On power play, Norris has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Cozens
Norris
Home
43.9% (410)
55.6% (487)
Away
47.2% (430)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Cozens
Norris
P1
46.4%
54.8%
P2
41.6%
51.3%
P3
49.4%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |