Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Norris 53.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 67.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 55.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 55.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Cozens
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cozens
Norris
Last 6: Cozens 2-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
53.6% (560)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
56.0% (109)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
53.1% (98)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Cozens
Norris
Home
49.5% (638)
53.6% (373)
Away
51.9% (522)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Cozens
Norris
P1
51.9%
61.8%
P2
46.4%
51.7%
P3
54.2%
49.8%
OT
16.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |