Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Norris 52.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.4%
Defensive zone
Cozens 59.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 59.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Cozens
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Cozens
Norris
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
7
5
Cozens
Norris
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
4
6
Cozens
Norris
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
4
Cozens
Norris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
52.5% (3,057)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
53.7% (404)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
45.4% (240)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Home / Away
Cozens
Norris
Home
48.2% (2,677)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Cozens
Norris
P1
49.1%
55.6%
P2
47.7%
51.4%
P3
48.8%
50.1%
OT
34.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |