Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Norris 51.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 59.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Cozens
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Cozens
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
52.2% (542)
-5.5%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
54.4% (57)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
46.7% (30)
-4.4%
On power play, Norris has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Cozens
Norris
Home
46.2% (567)
50.7% (351)
Away
44.9% (579)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Cozens
Norris
P1
46.5%
55.6%
P2
46.5%
49.3%
P3
44.2%
52.1%
OT
22.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |