Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Norris 49.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 52.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 59.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Cozens
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Cozens
Norris
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
2
Cozens
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
50.0% (356)
+2.6%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
48.7% (76)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.9% (7)
-9.6%
On power play, Cozens has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Cozens
Norris
Home
54.1% (375)
47.2% (193)
Away
52.3% (331)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Cozens
Norris
P1
55.8%
53.8%
P2
50.6%
48.2%
P3
53.7%
47.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |