Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Norris 52.9% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 50.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 73.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 65.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Cozens
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cozens
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Cozens
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
63.9% (36)
-14.5%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
50.0% (2)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
47.4% (19)
-7.9%
On even strength, Norris has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Norris is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Cozens
Norris
Home
49.0% (600)
62.2% (37)
Away
47.6% (574)
50.0% (20)
By Period
Cozens
Norris
P1
46.5%
64.3%
P2
52.9%
59.1%
P3
45.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |