Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 72.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Cozens
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cozens
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
55.9% (245)
-10.3%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
0.0% (3)
+50.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
57.1% (7)
-22.6%
On power play, Cozens has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bjugstad
Home
43.9% (410)
53.2% (111)
Away
47.2% (430)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Cozens
Bjugstad
P1
46.4%
44.6%
P2
41.6%
61.4%
P3
49.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |