Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 86.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 51.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 61.4%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Cozens
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
48.9% (280)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
50.0% (6)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
47.2% (36)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cozens is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Cozens shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bjugstad
Home
54.1% (375)
48.4% (190)
Away
52.3% (331)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Cozens
Bjugstad
P1
55.8%
41.7%
P2
50.6%
56.6%
P3
53.7%
48.7%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |