Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.1% vs Bjugstad 49.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 86.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 52.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 64.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Cozens
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (518)
50.9% (212)
+2.0%
Power Play
59.5% (79)
40.0% (5)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.1% (34)
-10.8%
On power play, Cozens has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cozens is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Cozens shoots right. Bjugstad is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bjugstad
Home
54.1% (331)
52.3% (151)
Away
52.9% (272)
46.0% (100)
By Period
Cozens
Bjugstad
P1
56.3%
44.9%
P2
51.0%
56.8%
P3
54.1%
48.3%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
53.6%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |