Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 65.3%
Defensive zone
Cozens 56.9%
Neutral zone
Cozens 69.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Cozens
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cozens
Bjugstad
Last 5: Cozens 4-1 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
46.7% (398)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
51.6% (31)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
62.5% (8)
-20.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cozens is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Cozens shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bjugstad
Home
49.5% (638)
47.3% (220)
Away
51.9% (522)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Cozens
Bjugstad
P1
51.9%
46.1%
P2
46.4%
46.3%
P3
54.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |