Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.8%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 74.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 70.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Cozens
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Cozens
Bjugstad
Last 10: Cozens 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
4
Cozens
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
49.4% (867)
+0.0%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
56.0% (25)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
40.7% (216)
-1.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bjugstad
Home
49.0% (600)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.6% (574)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Cozens
Bjugstad
P1
46.5%
48.7%
P2
52.9%
45.6%
P3
45.2%
49.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:14 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |