Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.9%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Cozens wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 56.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 60.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Cozens
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Cozens
Bjugstad
Last 10: Cozens 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
3
Cozens
Bjugstad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
3
Cozens
Bjugstad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
7
5
Cozens
Bjugstad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
48.6% (6,634)
+0.3%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
55.2% (829)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
44.3% (614)
-3.3%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cozens is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,449).
Cozens shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Cozens
Bjugstad
Home
48.2% (2,677)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Cozens
Bjugstad
P1
49.1%
49.0%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
48.8%
48.4%
OT
34.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |