Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 53.4%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 53.1% vs Monahan 53.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 62.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 52.1%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Monahan
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (518)
53.8% (664)
-0.9%
Power Play
59.5% (79)
53.3% (137)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
50.0% (62)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
54.1% (331)
54.8% (405)
Away
52.9% (272)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
56.3%
49.6%
P2
51.0%
53.9%
P3
54.1%
55.2%
OT
25.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
46.0%▼
50.0%
53.6%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |