Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 85.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 72.7%
Neutral zone
Cozens 85.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Cozens
Monahan
Last 10: Cozens 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
5
3
Cozens
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
8
Cozens
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
57.1% (871)
-10.4%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
53.1% (262)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
44.6% (139)
-2.3%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
46.2% (567)
55.3% (644)
Away
44.9% (579)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
46.5%
53.9%
P2
46.5%
55.3%
P3
44.2%
54.4%
OT
22.2%
76.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |