Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 34-25 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 68.2%
Defensive zone
Cozens 73.2%
Neutral zone
Cozens 70.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
34
(59 meetings)
25
34
Cozens
Monahan
Last 10: Cozens 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
12
9
Cozens
Monahan
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
16
Cozens
Monahan
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
9
Cozens
Monahan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
51.1% (11,356)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
53.7% (2,580)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
46.0% (766)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
48.2% (2,677)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
49.1%
50.9%
P2
47.7%
51.7%
P3
48.8%
51.0%
OT
34.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |