Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 54.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 50.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Cozens
Monahan
Last 10: Cozens 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
4
2
Cozens
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
6
Cozens
Monahan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Cozens
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
52.4% (853)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
58.6% (174)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
46.5% (144)
-4.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
49.5% (638)
53.4% (624)
Away
51.9% (522)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
51.9%
53.7%
P2
46.4%
52.4%
P3
54.2%
51.6%
OT
16.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |