Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 50.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.8%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cozens
Monahan
Last 7: Cozens 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
53.2% (823)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
55.3% (159)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.4% (95)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
54.1% (375)
54.6% (529)
Away
52.3% (331)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
55.8%
49.0%
P2
50.6%
55.4%
P3
53.7%
53.6%
OT
40.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |