Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Monahan 52.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 54.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 61.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 57.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Cozens
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Cozens
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
51.5% (641)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
62.8% (129)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
33.3% (9)
+1.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
43.9% (410)
53.9% (362)
Away
47.2% (430)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
46.4%
48.0%
P2
41.6%
57.0%
P3
49.4%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |