Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Monahan 53.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.6%
Defensive zone
Cozens 61.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Cozens
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Cozens
Monahan
Last 8: Cozens 4-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Cozens
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
54.5% (231)
-5.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
58.2% (67)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
52.2% (23)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cozens is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Cozens shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Cozens
Monahan
Home
49.0% (600)
53.5% (144)
Away
47.6% (574)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Cozens
Monahan
P1
46.5%
52.5%
P2
52.9%
50.9%
P3
45.2%
60.8%
OT
53.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |