Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Larkin 54.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 63.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 62.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 62.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Henrique
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Henrique
Larkin
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Henrique
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
52.9% (1,228)
+0.0%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
63.1% (214)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
55.2% (145)
+0.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Henrique is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Henrique shoots left. Larkin is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Home / Away
Henrique
Larkin
Home
55.3% (571)
55.8% (805)
Away
49.8% (512)
53.2% (782)
By Period
Henrique
Larkin
P1
53.3%
55.2%
P2
52.4%
53.3%
P3
52.4%
55.1%
OT
53.3%
51.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |