Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 51.0% vs Larkin 52.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 71.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.2%
Neutral zone
Point 60.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Point
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Point
Larkin
Last 5: Point 1-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Point
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Point
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (639)
51.0% (973)
-1.1%
Power Play
58.2% (122)
59.5% (252)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
49.6% (137)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Point is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Point shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Point
Larkin
Home
49.4% (387)
54.9% (721)
Away
52.8% (390)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Point
Larkin
P1
49.1%
52.4%
P2
49.0%
50.8%
P3
54.4%
54.4%
OT
80.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |