Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.8% vs Larkin 49.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 72.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 92.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 85.7%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Sissons
Larkin
Last 9: Sissons 7-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Larkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
0
Sissons
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (590)
48.5% (1,057)
+8.6%
Power Play
62.3% (130)
61.4% (140)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (215)
48.7% (117)
-2.7%
On even strength, Sissons has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (650).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
58.3% (453)
51.4% (652)
Away
52.5% (482)
48.5% (662)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
55.2%
49.1%
P2
57.9%
52.0%
P3
53.1%
48.0%
OT
46.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:31 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |