Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 51.1% vs Larkin 52.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 78.6%
Defensive zone
Sissons 83.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Sissons
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sissons
Larkin
Last 9: Sissons 3-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
6
Sissons
Larkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
0
Sissons
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (409)
51.0% (973)
+1.3%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
59.5% (252)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
49.6% (137)
-1.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sissons is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Sissons shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Sissons
Larkin
Home
52.2% (289)
54.9% (721)
Away
50.2% (263)
49.6% (641)
By Period
Sissons
Larkin
P1
48.1%
52.4%
P2
50.2%
50.8%
P3
56.3%
54.4%
OT
20.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
51.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |