Dylan Larkin vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
49.8% (309)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
64.5% (31)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
50.0% (4)
-2.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Home
55.6% (662)
51.7% (203)
Away
48.3% (542)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
P1
49.9%
49.5%
P2
52.7%
50.4%
P3
53.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |