Dylan Larkin vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 83.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 63.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Larkin 5-0 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
51.8% (637)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
48.2% (56)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
42.9% (7)
+5.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.6% (700)
53.1% (339)
Away
52.1% (655)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.4%
48.3%
P2
54.7%
55.0%
P3
52.7%
50.4%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |