Dylan Larkin vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 61.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
52.8% (670)
-0.2%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
37.5% (32)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
14.3% (7)
+41.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Home
54.7% (783)
52.5% (366)
Away
54.3% (816)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.9%
53.8%
P2
56.1%
49.2%
P3
51.1%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |