Dylan Larkin vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 65.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
47.3% (207)
+4.4%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
100.0% (3)
-41.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
33.3% (3)
+14.9%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Home
52.4% (647)
46.5% (129)
Away
52.7% (643)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.2%
51.3%
P2
53.1%
46.1%
P3
51.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%