Dylan Larkin vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 58.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 54.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
51.7% (586)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
48.1% (52)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
62.5% (8)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Home
56.0% (654)
49.5% (313)
Away
54.8% (639)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
P1
54.4%
54.5%
P2
55.9%
51.1%
P3
55.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%