Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Ek 43.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 69.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 84.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 83.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Larkin
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Larkin
Ek
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Ek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
3
Larkin
Ek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
43.5% (439)
+5.0%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
60.0% (5)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
25.0% (28)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Ek is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Larkin
Ek
Home
51.4% (652)
46.5% (245)
Away
48.5% (662)
38.3% (227)
By Period
Larkin
Ek
P1
49.1%
43.3%
P2
52.0%
41.9%
P3
48.0%
42.8%
Final 5 min
46.8%
35.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |