Dylan Larkin vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Ek 47.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 46-31 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 79.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Larkin
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
31
(77 meetings)
46
31
Larkin
Ek
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
16
5
Larkin
Ek
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
15
10
Larkin
Ek
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
15
16
Larkin
Ek
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
47.3% (6,674)
+4.4%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
55.2% (1,494)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
40.2% (1,168)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Ek is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,096).
Home / Away
Larkin
Ek
Home
54.0% (6,238)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
46.9% (4,692)
By Period
Larkin
Ek
P1
52.7%
46.6%
P2
53.1%
49.4%
P3
52.1%
46.7%
OT
58.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |