Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Ek 48.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 76.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Larkin
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Larkin
Ek
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Ek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Ek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
47.2% (815)
+4.5%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
53.8% (266)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
47.8% (180)
+0.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Larkin
Ek
Home
52.4% (647)
49.9% (693)
Away
52.7% (643)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Larkin
Ek
P1
52.2%
46.2%
P2
53.1%
52.6%
P3
51.7%
46.5%
OT
61.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |