Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Ek 49.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 55.2%
Defensive zone
Ek 54.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Larkin
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Larkin
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
48.4% (926)
+5.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
55.4% (327)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
41.4% (133)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Home / Away
Larkin
Ek
Home
56.6% (700)
50.1% (689)
Away
52.1% (655)
48.6% (697)
By Period
Larkin
Ek
P1
55.4%
49.5%
P2
54.7%
49.3%
P3
52.7%
48.9%
OT
59.1%
53.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |