Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Ek 47.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 83.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 75.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Larkin
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Larkin
Ek
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Ek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Ek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Ek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
48.0% (920)
+3.8%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
52.0% (302)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
40.3% (243)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Ek is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (942).
Home / Away
Larkin
Ek
Home
55.6% (662)
49.1% (740)
Away
48.3% (542)
46.1% (725)
By Period
Larkin
Ek
P1
49.9%
47.6%
P2
52.7%
48.9%
P3
53.0%
45.4%
OT
68.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |