Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Ek 47.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 53.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 55.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 54.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Larkin
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
0
2
Larkin
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
47.6% (609)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
53.3% (152)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
34.9% (106)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Larkin
Ek
Home
54.7% (783)
49.2% (331)
Away
54.3% (816)
45.7% (536)
By Period
Larkin
Ek
P1
55.9%
38.7%
P2
56.1%
52.9%
P3
51.1%
48.8%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |