Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Staal 56.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 81.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Larkin
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Larkin
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
58.9% (1,041)
-7.1%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
53.4% (73)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
49.1% (171)
-1.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Larkin
Staal
Home
55.6% (662)
59.0% (578)
Away
48.3% (542)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Larkin
Staal
P1
49.9%
57.1%
P2
52.7%
60.9%
P3
53.0%
55.8%
OT
68.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | OT | 03:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |