Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Draisaitl 55.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.3%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 70.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 74.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Larkin
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Larkin
Draisaitl
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Draisaitl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
1
Larkin
Draisaitl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
56.6% (956)
-8.1%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
53.5% (144)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
55.1% (98)
-6.4%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Larkin
Draisaitl
Home
51.4% (652)
56.1% (626)
Away
48.5% (662)
56.1% (572)
By Period
Larkin
Draisaitl
P1
49.1%
56.9%
P2
52.0%
53.7%
P3
48.0%
56.9%
OT
52.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |