Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 64.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Larkin
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Larkin
Draisaitl
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Draisaitl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Larkin
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Larkin
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
52.6% (1,124)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
58.4% (344)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
49.2% (193)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Larkin
Draisaitl
Home
55.6% (662)
55.5% (816)
Away
48.3% (542)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Larkin
Draisaitl
P1
49.9%
51.1%
P2
52.7%
51.6%
P3
53.0%
56.9%
OT
68.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |