Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 77.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 57.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Larkin
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larkin
Jankowski
Last 7: Larkin 2-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
4
Larkin
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
51.6% (126)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (2)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
39.2% (51)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Larkin
Jankowski
Home
55.6% (662)
45.3% (64)
Away
48.3% (542)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Larkin
Jankowski
P1
49.9%
53.7%
P2
52.7%
45.8%
P3
53.0%
43.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:37 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |