Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Jankowski 50.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Larkin
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
49.3% (134)
+6.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
37.5% (8)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
61.9% (21)
-15.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Larkin
Jankowski
Home
56.0% (654)
54.2% (72)
Away
54.8% (639)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Larkin
Jankowski
P1
54.4%
54.2%
P2
55.9%
42.4%
P3
55.2%
55.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |